Showing posts with label game 4. Show all posts
Showing posts with label game 4. Show all posts

Monday, October 24, 2011

Predicting World Series Winners By Which Games They Won

The 2011 World Series, between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Texas Rangers, is now tied at 2 games apiece. What does this tell us?

Anything you want it to, really.

But can we predict the winner of a World Series in progress by which team is winning which game?

For this purpose, I have omitted the World Series of 1903, 1919, 1920 and 1921, all of which were meant to be best-5-out-of-9; and 1912, which, due to a tie, went to 8 games. Only those which were meant to be, and stayed, best-4-out-of-7, are included.

The team that won Game 1 has ended up winning the World Series 62 times, losing it 38, with 1 tie, for a percentage of .619. The Cardinals won Game 1 this time.

The team that won Game 2 has ended up winning the World Series 69 times, losing it 32, for a percentage of .683. The Rangers have won Game 2.

The team that won Game 3 has ended up winning the World Series 68 times, losing it 33, for a percentage of .673. The Cardinals have won Game 3.

The team that won Game 4 has ended up winning the World Series 75 times, losing it 26, for a percentage of .743. The Rangers have won Game 4.

The team that won Game 5 has ended up winning the World Series 55 times, losing it 28, for a percentage of .662.

The team that won Game 6 has ended up winning the World Series 43 times, losing it 15, for a percentage of .741.

And, of course, in Series such as these, the team that won Game 7 has ended up winning the World Series 35 times, losing it none, for a percentage of 1.000.

Based on the fact that the Rangers have won the higher-percentage Games 2 and 4, it can be suggested that the Rangers will win the World Series.

If we look at potential Series-clinchers other than a sweep-clincher Game 4, we find that Game 5, and even Game 6 (though it's very close), is not as key as winning Game 4.

*

But let's try something else. Let's look at World Series that were tied after 2 games, which is what we have now. This has happened 39 times before.

1906: The Chicago White Sox beat the Chicago Cubs in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1909: The Pittsburgh Pirates beat the Detroit Tigers in Game 5, lost Game 6, and won Game 7.

1917: The White Sox beat the New York Giants in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1923: The New Yankees beat the Giants in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1924: The Giants beat the Washington Senators in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

1926: The Yankees beat the Cardinals in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7 -- at home, no less.

1930: The Philadelphia Athletics beat the Cardinals in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1931: The Cards beat the A's in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1934: The Tigers beat the Cards in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7 -- at home.

1940: The Tigers beat the Cincinnati Reds in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

1944: The Cardinals beat the St. Louis Browns in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1945: The Tigers beat the Cubs in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1946: The Boston Red Sox beat the Cards in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

1947: The Yankees beat the Brooklyn Dodgers in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1951: The Yankees beat the Giants in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1952: The Dodgers beat the Yankees in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7 -- at home.

1953: The Yankees beat the Dodgers in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1955: The Dodgers beat the Yankees in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1956: The Yankees beat the Dodgers in Game 5 (Don Larsen's perfect game), lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1957: The Milwaukee Braves beat the Yankees in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1960: The Pirates beat the Yankees in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1962: The Yankees beat the San Francisco Giants in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1964: The Cards beat the Yanks in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1965: The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Minnesota Twins in Game 5, lost Game 7, but won Game 7.

1971: The Pirates beat the Baltimore Orioles in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

1973: The New York Mets beat the Oakland Athletics in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

1975: The Reds beat the Red Sox in Game 5, lost that epic Game 6, but won Game 7.

1978: The Yankees beat the Dodgers in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1980: The Philadelphia Phillies beat the Kansas City Royals in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1981: The Dodgers beat the Yankees in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1982: The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Cardinals in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

1986: The Red Sox beat the Mets in Game 5... and you know how that worked out!

1987: The Cardinals beat the Twins in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

1991: The Atlanta Braves beat the Twins in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

1996: The Yankees beat the Braves in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

1997: The Florida Marlins beat the Cleveland Indians in Game 5, lost Game 6, but won Game 7.

2001: The Yankees beat the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

2002: The Giants beat the Anaheim Angels in Game 5, but lost Games 6 and 7.

2003: The Marlins beat the Yankees in Game 5, and won Game 6, too.

So... In past World Series that were tied after Game 4, the team that won Game 5 won the Series 25 times, losing 14 -- .641.

The team that won Game 6 won the Series 26 times, losing 13 -- .667.

A team that won Game 5 but lost Game 6 won Game 7 14 times. A team that lost Game 5 but won Game 6 won Game 7 13 times.

So what does all this really tell me?

Two things:

1. Wrap it up before a Game 7.

2. If you can't wrap it up before a Game 7, make sure your pitchers are fresh in Game 7 and your bats haven't gone cold. Everybody's available. There's no tomorrow. You can rest in the winter.

*

October 24, 1857: Sheffield F.C., the world's first football club, is founded in Sheffield, England. Today, they are in the Northern Premier League, which is the 8th level of English soccer, 7 levels below the Premier League and 6 below “The Championship,” the 2nd division which includes Sheffield United and Sheffield Wednesday. In a weird quirk, Sheffield FC wears red jerseys at home and blue on the road; United wears red and white stripes as its basic uniform, while Wednesday wear blue and white stripes.

Also on this day, Ned Williamson is born. He was a third baseman for the Chicago White Stockings, forerunners of the Cubs. In 1884, he set a major league record with 27 home runs – mainly because the White Stockings’ home ground, Lake Shore Park, had the shortest right-field fence in the history of the game: 184 feet. The White Stockings had long led the National League in doubles, because any drive over that short fence was ruled a double instead of a home run.

But in 1884, the rule was changed and it was a home run. Williamson hit 25 homers at home, only 2 on the road. Apparently, somebody had enough, because the City of Chicago took over the ground, and the White Stockings had to move. In 1885 they built West Side Park, built another with that name nearby in 1893, and moved to what’s now called Wrigley Field in 1916.

A knee injury hampered Williamson’s career in 1889, and he died of tuberculosis in 1894, aged only 36. His single-season home run record lasted until 1919, when Babe Ruth hit 29.

October 24, 1884: The Mets lose the World Series. Well, not exactly. The Providence Grays, Champions of the National League, defeat the New York Metropolitans -- and, yes, this early franchise was called the Mets for short -- 3-1, behind the pitching of future Hall-of-Famer Charlie "Old Hoss" Radbourne, at the Polo Grounds in New York. This gives the Grays the first-ever postseason series between champions of two major professional baseball leagues, a series that was officially called the "World's Series."

A Game 3 was played, for charity, and the Grays won that, too. The Grays had won the NL Pennant in 1879, too, but would go out of business after the 1885 season. Aside from teams known as the the Providence Steam Rollers in the NFL (1920-1931, 1928 Champions) and the NBA (only the inaugural 1946-47 season), the State of Rhode Island has never had another major league sports team -- the New England Patriots, who play 25 miles from downtown Providence in Foxboro, Massachusetts, don't count.

October 24, 1885: The St. Louis Browns, Champions of the American Association, defeat the Chicago White Stockings, Champions of the National League,13-4 in the 7th and last game in their series. The Browns claim the Game 2 forfeit didn't count, and therefore claim the championship. Each club receives $500. The two teams would meet again the next season, forging the NL rivalry that still exists between the teams, by 1901 known as the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs.

October 24, 1892: Goodison Park, the world's first stadium built specifically for association football, is opened in Liverpool. Home to Everton Football Club, it is across Stanley Park from Anfield, home ground of Liverpool Football Club, thus making the two Merseyside teams in the Premiership the closest major rivals of any major sport on the planet. Imagine that, instead of their actual locations, the Yankees' home field was where the Metropolitan Museum of Art is, at 82nd Street and 5th Avenue on one side of Central Park, and the Mets played where the American Museum of Natural History, on the other side of the Park at 79th Street and Central Park West, and you'd have an idea.

Goodison Park hosted some of the 1966 World Cup matches, and even hosted a post-World War I tour by two U.S. baseball teams, the New York Giants and Chicago White Sox. Everton would like to expand the stadium, but there’s no room, so, like Liverpool, they are looking to build a new stadium; but, also like their Red rivals, the Blues haven’t gotten it past the planning stage.

October 24, 1908: "Take Me Out to the Ballgame" is sung publicly for the first time, by a singer named Billy Murray. No relation to the comic legend of the 1970s onward, this Billy Murray (1877-1954) was a vaudeville legend whose style did not survive the switch to electronic recording in the 1920s.

"Take Me Out to the Ballgame" was not his first hit recording with a baseball connection: In 1903, he had a hit with "Tessie," which became the theme song of the Boston Red Sox' fan club, the Royal Rooters.

October 24, 1926: Yelberton Abraham Tittle is born. Y.A. Tittle was a sensational quarterback at Louisiana State University, where one of his receivers was future big-league baseball player and manager Alvin Dark.

He starred for the San Francisco 49ers, joining with running backs Hugh McElhenny, Joe “the Jet” Perry and John Henry Johnson to form “the Million Dollar Backfield” in 1954 – the only season in which one team had an entire backfield that went on to reach the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Tittle has joked about the nickname, though: “They should have called us the Hundred Dollar Backfield, because that’s about what they paid us.”

Despite all that talent, which also included Hall-of-Famers Bob St. Clair at offensive tackle and defensive end Leo Nomellini, the 49ers only reached the Playoffs once during Tittle’s tenure, tying with the Detroit Lions for the 1957 Western Division title, and losing a Playoff for the right to face the Cleveland Browns for the NFL Championship. (The Lions won that one, too – and haven’t won an NFL Championship since.)

In 1961, the New York Giants traded for Tittle, despite his being 35 years old. He helped them win 3 straight Eastern Division titles, but they lost all 3 NFL Championship Games, all in miserably cold weather: 1961 to the Green Bay Packers on a snowy New Year’s Eve at Lambeau Field, 1962 to the Packers on a frozen field at Yankee Stadium, and 1963 to the Chicago Bears on an equally-rock-hard gridiron at Wrigley Field, with the Bears winning 14-10 with the clock winding down, but an already-injured Tittle leading the Giants on a desperate drive that ended with an interception.

In 1964, hit hard in a game in Pittsburgh, his helmet knocked off, his bald head dripping blood as he knelt on the field, a photograph of this scene won a Pulitzer Prize. Tittle retired after the season. Despite never winning a title, he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame, and the Giants have retired his Number 14.

October 24, 1929: The New York Stock Exchange is hit with "Black Thursday," a crash that will last until the following “Black Tuesday.” Calendars aside, Black Thursday is the effective end of the Roaring Twenties; Black Tuesday is the beginning of the Great Depression and the Dirty Thirties. It will be 25 years, until 1954, before the Dow Jones Industrial Average tops its September 3, 1929 peak.

October 24, 1950: Rawlins Jackson Eastwick is born in Camden, New Jersey. “Rawly” was a relief pitcher who helped the Cincinnati Reds win the 1975 and 1976 World Series, but after being acquired by the Yankees in 1978, he was injured and hardly played again after that.

October 24, 1962: Jay Novacek is born. The All-Pro tight end from the University of Wyoming (whose teams are also called the Cowboys) helped the Dallas Cowboys win 3 Super Bowls. He was elected to the College Football Hall of Fame last year, but as yet has not been elected to the Pro Football Hall.

October 24, 1966: Roman Abramovich is born. He turned an investment into the Russian black market into oil and aluminum empires, and developed a close relationship with then-President Boris Yeltsin, and has worked with Yeltsin’s successors, Vladimir Putin and Dmitri Medvedev. He has been indicted on numerous corruption charges, but has never been convicted. It’s good to have friends in high places. His fortune has gone up and down, but is now believed by Forbes magazine to be over $13 billion. Two divorce settlements and his sports investments have not helped in this regard, as you’ll see below.

In 2003, he bought Chelsea Football Club of West London, leading to its new nickname of “Chelski” (or “Chavski,” as the club’s popularity with London’s tracksuit-wearing, baggy-pantsed, jewelry-flashing, cap-turned-backwards, foul-mouthed juvenile delinquents (we don't really have a single name for such in the U.S.) has led to them being called “The Chavs”).

In 2004, he hired manager Jose Mourinho away from the Portugese club F.C. Porto, and together they built a team that won the Premier League title in 2005 and again in 2006 – this after winning just 1 title in the team’s first 99 seasons, in 1955 (and that with a former Arsenal player as their manager, Ted Drake). Mourinho has since left for Internazionale in Milan, Italy, and that for Real Madrid in Spain. Despite winning the FA Cup in 2007 and 2009, and both the Premier League and the FA Cup (a.k.a. "winning The Double") in 2010, Chelsea is believed to be heavily in debt under his ownership, due to the high sums paid in wages, transfer fees, and upkeep of the aging home ground, Stamford Bridge. He is believed to have sunk nearly 1 billion pounds – about $1.6 billion – into the club in his 8 years of ownership.

In 1999, he was elected to the Russian Parliament, the Duma, from the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, the oil-rich easternmost “state” of Russia, and from 2000 to 2008 served as its Governor, making him a “neighbor” of 2007-09 Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska, as this is the part of Russia that she claimed could be seen from her home State. (But she never actually said, “I can see Russia from my house” – that was Tina Fey doing the impersonation.)

Twice divorced, the 45-year-old “Mad Russian” is the domestic partner of Daria “Dasha” Zhukova, a 30-year-old fashion designer known on ESPN’s Pardon the Interruption as “Marat Safin’s Girlfriend” – while she was dating the Russian tennis star, the show’s co-host Tony Kornheiser slobbered over her so much it made my feelings for Catherine Zeta-Jones look mature by comparison. They are parents of a son, Alexander, Zhukova’s first child, Abramovich’s sixth.

October 24, 1972: Jackie Robinson dies. The first black player in modern baseball had been suffering from diabetes, which had robbed him of most his eyesight, caused such poor circulation in his legs that amputation was being considered, and damaged his heart to the point where it killed him at age 53.

Just 10 days earlier, he had flown from his home in Stamford, Connecticut (where his wife Rachel, now 92, still lives), and was a special guest at Game 2 of the World Series between the A’s and Reds in Cincinnati. It had been 25 years since the great experiment that he and Brooklyn Dodger president Branch Rickey (who died in 1965) had reached its successful conclusion with the Dodgers winning the Pennant and Jackie making it through the season, not just surviving but excelling. His former teammate, Pee Wee Reese, was on hand, and former Dodger broadcaster Red Barber introduced him. Jackie said, “I’m extremely pleased to be here, but I must confess, I’m going to be even more pleased when I see a black face managing in baseball.”

Jackie’s eulogy was delivered by the Rev. Jesse Jackson, and his funeral was attended by most of his surviving teammates. Roy Campanella was there in his wheelchair. Among his pallbearers were former Dodger pitcher Don Newcombe and basketball legend Bill Russell.

Earlier in the year, in Los Angeles, Jackie’s hometown (if not the team’s), the Dodgers retired uniform numbers for the first time, packing away Jackie’s Number 42, Campy’s Number 39 and Sandy Koufax’s Number 32. Jackie was the first black player in the Hall of Fame, Campy the second, and Koufax had been newly elected at the time of the ceremony.

It would be two more years, on October 3, 1974, before Frank Robinson, no relation, was hired as Major League Baseball’s first black manager, with the Cleveland Indians, the team that had been the first in the American League to add black players with Larry Doby and Satchel Paige.

Ironically, while black Hispanics are now the leading presence in the game, very few black Americans are in the major leagues. Jackie would probably be disturbed by that, but not puzzled, as he would surely factor in the rise of pro football and basketball as sports preferred by African-Americans. Of the 30 current MLB franchises, only 8 have never had an African-American or Hispanic manager -- and one of those, the Seattle Mariners, have had an Asian-American manager. Ironically, one of the teams that has never had a nonwhite manager is the Dodgers. The Oakland Athletics, so notable for the racial mix of their players even in their Kansas City days, are another. The others are all teams that, historically, have been criticized for their racial policies: The Yankees, Boston Red Sox, Philadelphia Phillies, St. Louis Cardinals and Minnesota Twins. Currently, the only black managers are Ron Washington of the Texas Rangers and Dusty Baker of the Cincinnati Reds. Hispanic managers include Ozzie Guillen of the Florida Marlins, Manny Acta of the Cleveland Indians and Fredi Gonzales of the Atlanta Braves. That means only 5 out of 29 teams -- the Red Sox job currently being vacant -- have a nonwhite manager. Jackie would not be pleased about that.

In 1997, on the 50th Anniversary of Jackie’s arrival, Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig announced that Jackie’s Number 42 would be retired for all of baseball, as yet a unique honor. All players then wearing it would be allowed to continue to do so for the remainder of their careers, but no new players could wear it, and no current players could switch to it. The last remaining Number 42 in baseball is Mariano Rivera of the Yankees; the Yankees appeared to have been waiting for Mariano to retire before retiring the number for both him and Jackie, but in 2007, on the 60th Anniversary of Jackie’s arrival, they retired it for Jackie, and presumably will do so again for Mariano when he hangs ‘em up, just as they retired Number 8 for both Bill Dickey and Yogi Berra.

October 24, 1973: Jackie McNamara is born. He won 4 Scottish Premier League titles and 3 Scottish Cups with Glasgow’s Celtic Football Club, serving as their Captain in 2005. He now manages a much smaller Glasgow club, but with no less passionate a fan base, Patrick Thistle.

October 24, 1974: Corey Dillon is born. He set single-season rushing yardage records for the University of Washington, the Cincinnati Bengals and the New England Patriots. On October 23, 2000, he rushed for 278 yards against the Denver Broncos, breaking Walter Payton’s 1977 record of 275. Dillon’s record has been surpassed by Jamal Lewis and Adrian Peterson. In the 2004 season, he was a member of the Patriot team that won Super Bowl XXXIX. (By cheating?)

Also on this day, Wilton Guerrero is born. The older brother and former Montreal Expo teammate of Vladimir Guerrero, he is best known for a 1997 incident with the Los Angeles Dodgers, where he was found to have a corked bat. He is now a scout with the Dodgers.

Also on this day, Jamal Mayers is born. One of 26 black players currently in the NHL, the right wing is now an Alternate Captain for his hometown team, the Toronto Maple Leafs. A dream come true... or, considering the Leafs’ ineptitude the last few years, a nightmare?

October 24, 1975: Juan Pablo Angel is born. The Colombian now plays for the Los Angeles Galaxy after starring for the New York Red Bulls. He previously played for River Plante in Buenos Aires, Argentina and Aston Villa in Birmingham, England.

October 24, 1981, 30 years ago today: The Dodgers tie the World Series up at 2 games apiece, 8-7, thanks to some poor Yankee fielding.

October 24, 1985: Wayne Rooney is born. Perhaps the most celebrated active soccer player in England, he grew up in Liverpool as an Everton fan – even sharing his birthday with the club’s home ground, Goodison Park. After reaching Everton’s first team when not yet 17 (and the England national team at 19), he publicly said he was “Everton ‘til I die,” but, citing the club’s inability to qualify for European competition, demanded a transfer (soccertalk for “trade”), and Manchester United paid 25.6 million pounds for him (about $42 million). If there’s one thing Liverpool and Everton fans agree on, it’s that they hate Manchester United with a flaming red (or blue) passion.

He has become the face of Man United – unfortunately, since his squinty eyes, uneven teeth, sticky-out ears, oddly-shaped head and heavier-than-recommended weight have gotten him nicknamed “Shrek.” He is also frequently called a “chav” due to his, shall we say, lack of refinement; this is not aided by a tattoo on his arm, with the words “Just Enough Education To Perform.”

One of his first acts for Man U, in October 2004, was a dive that was not called, leading to a penalty shot that ended Arsenal’s English-record 49-game unbeaten streak. (His first League goal, for Everton in 2002, ended a 30-game unbeaten streak for Arsenal, but this time he cheated, and he and every ManUre fan on the planet know he did.)

He dives so often he's been named an honorary Spaniard. But he gets away with this shit, because he plays for Manchester United and because he plays for England. He did not, however, get away with his actions in the 2006 World Cup quarterfinal with Portugal, in which he stomped on the foot of Ricardo Carvalho (whose club team is Chelsea) and was sent off, rendering him ineligible for the penalty kicks that the game went to, won by Portugal. And when England got embarrassed at the 2010 World Cup, he cursed into the camera at the England fans. He has never scored at a World Cup,, seeing as how he is not protected at that tournament by remiership referees, intimidated as they are by Man U manager Sir Alex Ferguson and the mystique of Man U’s historic stadium, Old Trafford, a.k.a. the Theatre of Dreams.

Rooney was lampooned as one of the puppets on the program I’m On Setanta Sports, later renamed Special 1 TV, with his teeth, ears, head and Scouse accent all greatly exaggerated (or, as the puppet would say, “ggrrayyyytly eckkkk-zajerrrratiduh!”), and his portrayal being that of an idiot savant.

Rooney and his wife, TV presenter and magazine columnist Colleen Rooney, have a son named Kai, nearly 2 years old. Sadly, the boy looks like him.

October 24, 1990: The Boston Red Sox announce they will not renew the contract of former All-Star Dwight Evans, a.k.a. Dewey. Evans signs a one-year contract with the Baltimore Orioles, plays the 1991 season for them, and retires with 385 home runs and a reputation as one of the best-fielding right fielders ever.

In that 1991 season, I visited Boston for the first time, and watched the Red Sox without Evans beat the Orioles with him at Fenway Park. Coming out of South Station, one of the city’s two major rail terminals, I saw that the street area around it was called Dewey Square. Not knowing about Admiral George Dewey, naval hero of the Spanish-American War, I thought, “Wow, this city is so crazy about its Red Sox, they named a square after Dwight Evans!”

October 24, 1992: For the first time, a World Series is won by a team from outside the United States of America. The Toronto Blue Jays clinch their 1st World Championship with a 4-3 win over the Atlanta Braves in Game 6. Dave Winfield's 2-out‚ 2-run double in the top of the 11th gives Toronto a 4-2 lead. The Braves score 1 run in the bottom half of the inning and have the tying run on 3rd when the final out is made. Jimmy Key wins the game in relief‚ and Candy Maldonado homers for the Blue Jays.

Toronto catcher Pat Borders‚ with a .450 BA‚ is named Series MVP. Winfield, derided as “Mister May” by Yankee owner George Steinbrenner for his poor performances in the 1981 World Series and subsequent Pennant races, finally has his ring, in his 20th season in the majors.

October 24, 1996: Game 5 of the World Series. Andy Pettitte, in just his second season in the majors, opposes seasoned World Series veteran John Smoltz. The Yankees take a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the 4th, thanks to an error by Marquis Grissom and a double by Cecil Fielder.

In the bottom of the 6th, the Braves put two runners on with nobody out. A bunt is attempted by Mark Lemke, but Pettitte snares it, and throws lefthanded to Scott Brosius at third base, nailing the lead runner. The next batter, Chipper Jones, hits a comebacker to Pettitte, who throws to Derek Jeter covering second for one, over to Fielder on first, inning-ending double play. That’s the Braves’ last threat until the last out, when John Wetteland comes on to face once and future Yankee Luis Polonia, who lines a shot into the gap, which an injured Paul O’Neill somehow catches, to save the 5-hit shutout.

The Yankees have taken all 3 games in Atlanta, and take a 3 games to 2 lead back to Yankee Stadium, just as former Brave, now Yankee, manager Joe Torre predicted to owner George Steinbrenner. This is the last game ever played at Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium, as the Braves move into Turner Field for the next season.

October 24, 1999: The Yankees beat the Braves, 7-2 at Turner Field in Atlanta, behind the pitching of David Cone and 3 hits from Bernie Williams, and take a 2 games to 0 lead in the World Series. Before the game, the winners in the fan balloting for the Major League Baseball All-Century Team are introduced. All the winners then living were in attendance:

Pitchers: Cy Young, Christy Mathewson, Walter Johnson, Lefty Grove, Warren Spahn, Sandy Koufax, Bob Gibson, Nolan Ryan and Roger Clemens. (Spahn, the former Milwaukee Braves pitcher who threw out the first ball before Game 1 of this Series, has since died; Koufax, Gibson, Ryan and Clemens are still alive. Clemens was still active, and was scheduled to start Game 4 of this Series, however, steroid allegations have put his worthiness for this honor into question.)

Catchers: Yogi Berra and Johnny Bench. (Both still alive.)

First Basemen: Lou Gehrig and Mark McGwire. (McGwire is still alive, although his presence on this team is tainted by his confession of steroid use.)

Second Basemen: Rogers Hornsby and Jackie Robinson. (Both dead; Joe Morgan, one of the finalists, was part of the NBC broadcasting crew for this Series, and said that if he were one of the second basemen chosen, and Robinson was not, he would forfeit his place to Robinson. Morgan finished 3rd in the 2B voting, so it wasn’t necessary.)

Shortstops: Honus Wagner, Ernie Banks and Cal Ripken. (Banks and Ripken are still alive, and Ripken was then still active.)

Third Basemen: Brooks Robinson and Mike Schmidt. (Both still alive.)

Outfielders: Ty Cobb, Babe Ruth, Joe DiMaggio, Ted Williams, Stan Musial, Mickey Mantle, Willie Mays, Hank Aaron, Pete Rose, Ken Griffey Jr. (DiMaggio had died earlier in the year. Williams was already ill, but attended, and it turned out to be his last appearance in a big-league ballpark, following his emotional appearance at that season’s All-Star Game at Fenway Park in Boston, his former home field. As he did on that occasion, he tipped his cap to the fans. Musial, Mays, Aaron, Rose and Griffey were still alive, and Griffey was still active and just 29 years old, making his election, at that point in his career, the result of popularity more than achievement. Aaron, who starred for the Braves in both Milwaukee and Atlanta, threw out the ceremonial first ball. Rose’s election to the team was controversial, as he had been banned from baseball for betting on the game.)

With the steroid accusations against Clemens and McGwire, the ban on Rose, and the “kid vote” for Griffey in mind, the next-highest vote getters at the positions in question were Greg Maddux for Clemens’ spot, Jimmie Foxx for McGwire’s, and Roberto Clemente and Shoeless Joe Jackson for Griffey’s and, ironically Rose’s; so if Jackson, also banned permanently for gambling-related offenses, is also removed, the next-highest outfielder was Reggie Jackson.

October 24, 2000: Game 3 of the World Series at Shea Stadium. The Mets defeat the Yankees‚ 4-2‚ behind the pitching of Rick Reed and their bullpen. Benny Agbayani's 8th inning double is the key hit for the Mets as they cut the Yankees Series lead to 2-games-to-1. Orlando "El Duque" Hernandez strikes out 12, a Series record for a Yankee pitcher, but loses a postseason game for the first time after 8 wins.

The loss ends the Yankees record streak of 14 consecutive wins in World Series action. This remains the only World Series game the Mets have won in the last 25 years.

October 24, 2004: The Boston Red Sox take a 2-games-to-0 lead in the World Series with a 6-2 win over the St. Louis Cardinals at Fenway Park. Curt Schilling, again wearing the Bloody Sock, gets the win. Orlando Cabrera‚ Mark Bellhorn‚ and Jason Varitek each drive in a pair of runs.

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

The Giants Win the Series! Post-Series Thoughts

Congratulations to the San Francisco Giants on winning their first World Series in their current hometown.

It's been 53 years, but they have finally reached the plateau reached by their Bay Area brethren:

* The University of California (called "Cal" for sports purposes but "Berkeley" for most others) won the 1st of 5 National Championships (so far) in college football in 1920, and also won one in basketball in 1959.

* Stanford University won the 1st of 2 National Championships in football in 1926, and one in basketball in 1942.

* The University of San Francisco won back-to-back National Championships in basketball in 1955.

* The Oakland Athletics won the 1st of 4 World Series in 1972.

* The Golden State Warriors (in San Francisco 1962-71, Oakland since then) won their 1st and still only NBA Championship in 1975.

* The Oakland Raiders won the 1st of 3 Super Bowls in 1976. (Well, January 1977, but it was for the 1976 season.)

* And the San Francisco 49ers won the 1st of 5 Super Bowls in 1981. (Well, January 1982.)

* The San Jose Sharks have yet to reach the Stanley Cup Finals, let alone win the Cup, but they've got a talented team at the moment, so who knows?

The Giants are deserving champions. May my Dodger-turned-Met fan Grandma from Queens forgive me for saying so. She probably would've told Tim Lincecum to get a haircut and Brian Wilson to shave.

Congratulations to San Francisco for their 1st baseball team to go as far as they were allowed to try since the 1957 San Francisco Seals won the Pennant in their last season in the Pacific Coast League.

So with the Curse of Captain Eddie (Grant) gone, that means every other curse -- except the Cubs' double whammy of Fred Merkle and the Billy Goat -- moves up, including Rocky Colavito's even though that came 12 years after the Indians' last title. Kevin Mitchell, your curse is on the clock.

*

Kristin Lee, wife of Cliff Lee, on October 26, citing fans who, she alleges, were throwing cups of beer, screaming obscenities and even spitting at the Ranger wives: "The fans did not do good things in my heart... When people are staring at you, and saying horrible things, it's hard not to take it personal."

Kristin Lee, sometime since then: "It's so nice living close to home."

The Lees live in Benton, Arkansas. That's 295 miles to downtown Dallas, Texas. Add on the 18 miles from downtown Dallas to Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, and we're talking 313 miles.

Even in Texas, where driving like a lunatic is par for the course, that's gotta be at least a 5-hour drive, even if you manage to get around downtown by taking I-635, the LBJ Freeway.

To put it another way: 313 miles from Yankee Stadium could put you in Biddeford, Maine (if you take I-95 North); Fredericksburg, Virginia (if you take I-95 South); Syracuse, New York (if you take the New York State Thruway); or Berwick, Pennsylvania (if you take I-80 West).

Does that sound like "close to home" to you? Cliff better hope she's not the one negotiating his new contract, 'cause she's not even as good at math (or geography) as her husband was at pitching in this World Series.

Speaking of Cliff Lee: His career record is 102-61. .626. Counting the postseason, he's 109-63, .634.

He's won 102 regular-season games. He's 32. At that same age, Catfish Hunter had won 222 games. Tom Seaver had won 203. Steve Carlton had won 201. Dwight Gooden, who isn't in the Hall of Fame and probably never will be, had, even with his injuries and suspensions, won 179. Nolan Ryan had won 151. Andy Pettitte, who is (at least for the moment) still active and thus not eligible for the Hall of Fame, had won 149. Even Tommy John, who isn't yet in the Hall of Fame and may never be, had won 124 by that age – the age at which he blew out his elbow and required the surgery that now bears his name.

Cliff Lee was 18-5 in 2005, and 22-3 in 2008. Other than that, he’s 62-53. .539. In the last 2 seasons, he's 26-22 in the regular season, .542.

Still think he's worth CC Sabathia money? Or even The Great Johan Santana money?

In fact, while we're at it, Sabathia is only 30, and has 157 wins. Santana is a few months younger than Lee, and has 133 wins. Both have a higher career winning percentage, a lower career ERA, and a lower career WHIP than Lee. These stats are true in spite of Sabathia pitching for some Indian teams on which Lee also pitched, and Santana pitching (and sometimes getting hurt) for a management-sabotaged Met team the last 3 seasons.

Still think the Yankees – or anybody else – should open the vault for Cliff Lee? Still think he's one of the great pitchers of our time? Still think the Hall of Fame should get his plaque ready, merely to await the final stats?

Prediction: The Chicago Cubs will win a World Series before Cliff Lee is elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame.

Hey, if the Red Sox, White Sox and Giants can do it, why not the Cubbies?

UPDATE: This prediction came true in 2016. Lee, whose final career record was 143-91, will be eligible for the Hall of Fame in 2020.

*

New Texas Rangers owner Chuck Greenberg – Nolan Ryan is the face of the franchise and the man making the personnel decisions, but it's Greenberg who actually owns the controlling interest – on Yankee Fans yesterday, prior to Game 5 of the World Series:

I think our fans have been great. I think particularly in Game 3 of the World Series they just blew away anything I've seen in any venue during the postseason.

I thought Yankee fans, frankly, were awful. They were either violent or apathetic, neither of which is good. So I thought Yankee fans were by far the worst of any I've seen in the postseason. I thought they were an embarrassment."

Greenberg later in the day, after getting put in his place by Commissioner Bud Selig:

Earlier today, in the course of praising the extraordinary support and enthusiasm of Texas Rangers fans, I unfairly and inaccurately disparaged fans of the New York Yankees. Those remarks were inappropriate. Yankees fans are among the most passionate and supportive in all of baseball.

I have spoken directly to Hal Steinbrenner and Randy Levine to apologize for my intemperate comments. I would like to express again how proud we are of our fans and how remarkably they have supported the Rangers throughout lean times and now during this magical season.

Apology accepted. Just don't do it again.

*

Mike Lupica, this past Sunday in his weekly "Shooting From the Lip" column in the Daily News:

The Yankees outspent the Red Sox by $40 million this season, saw the Red Sox lose half their team to injuries, and still didn't put Boston away for good until the second-to-last Sunday of the regular season.

Well, excuse me, Mr. Met Fan, whose team spent $132.7 million this season, and finished 12 games out of the Playoffs: Whose team outspent 25 MLB teams, and finished with a worse record than 16 of those? Whose team has spent more money since Opening Day 1987 than any team except the Yankees, and has no World Championships and 1 measly Pennant to show for it – and that one ending with the Yankees beating them in the World Series and clinching at Shea Stadium?

Come to think of it, the Red Sox spent more money than any team except the Yankees, and they didn't reach the Playoffs. They spent more money than the Pennant-winning Giants ($98 million) and the Pennant-winning Rangers ($55 million) combined.

Come to think of it, would Lupica be using the Red Sox as an example at all if they were not the Yankees' main rivals?

Monday, November 2, 2009

27 For 27

Yankees 7, Phillies 4. One more win. Just one more.

I know, I know, Yogi said, "It ain't over 'til it's over." Cliff Lee goes tomorrow night. Citizens Bank Park is still a bandbox. Brad Lidge may have used up his chokes for the Series. And after October 2004, we can never again ASS/U/ME, can we?

But this thing may not get back to The Bronx. We may have seen the last game at Yankee Stadium – any Yankee Stadium – until next April.

*

Hard to believe: Alex Rodriguez has been hit by a pitch 3 times so far, and Pedro Martinez didn't do any of them.

To be fair, Joe Blanton pitched fairly well, but like CC Sabathia vs. Cliff Lee in Game 1, he got outpitched. Blanton's hitting of A-Rod in the 1st couldn't possibly have been on purpose, because you don't put men on 1st and 3rd with only 1 out, especially with someone like Jorge Posada coming up. No, Blanton couldn't have been that stupid.

Besides, why would you hit a guy on purpose after a big home run (big in importance of not especially long in distance) when he's already been hit after said homer? It doesn't make any sense.

But then, when has Philadelphia sports ever made sense? Even when it's been successful, it’s been pretty weird.

Ryan Howard did not touch the plate with that tying run in the 4th. If he did, then I'm Garry Maddox. I noticed that on Johnny Damon's dunker into right in the 5th, Melky Cabrera, who had to be cautious because he didn't know if it would be caught, then took off, through 3rd-base coach Robby Thompson's stop sign, ran across the plate, and remembered that Howard didn't touch it, realized that he didn't touch it either, and went right back.

Chase Utley tried to get cute with that backhand flip. Maybe he saved a base, Melky going to 3rd, but it turned out to be temporary as Melky ended up scoring in the inning anyway, and Utley looked ridiculous. That kind of play works maybe once a season.

What the hell is wrong with the National League? We get the 1st 2 guys on in the 5th, and who's up? The pitcher! I know, I know, Andy Pettitte got an RBI hit yesterday, but that hadn't happened for a Yankee pitcher since the Mickey Years. Put the DH into your goddamned League already! Join the 21st Century!

Don't give me any shit about "Baseball is played by 9 men, not 10 men!" It is played by 25 men! Or do you not want to use a substitute, ever? So Howard pitches Game 5? Utley pitches Game 6? If it goes to a Game 7, Rollins goes while Cliff Lee plays shortstop? No relievers, ever? Put in the DH, you moronic troglodytes!

Good thing Captain Clutch was up next, and anybody who says "Derek Jeter is not a good clutch hitter" or "There is no such thing as clutch hitting" is a fucking moron who doesn't know Jack Shit about baseball.

Yikes, that's the kind of language I reserve for a certain hockey team, which plays its home games in Madison Square Garden, and sucks.

Speaking of the use of the word "sucks" around New York sports teams… Despite the long-established nastiness of the Philly fans – they did do a "Yankee Suck" chant after the umps warned both benches about plunkings – I heard the Bleacher Creatures doing Roll Call.

Sorry, Philly fans, but you failed to intimidate us. I guess you'll have to be satisfied with the whuppin' you laid on the Giants. How the hell did the Eagles score 40 points on the G-Men, without Brian Westbrook? Not that I'm complaining: I still don't like the Giants.

Very gutsy move letting CC bat for himself in the 7th. Joe Girardi surely knows that CC came in with a lifetime batting average of .261. So he pitches a 7th inning on 3 days rest. Seemed like a good idea until Utley cranked one with 2 out – better than doing it with 2 on – for his 3rd homer off CC in the Series.

Utley owns CC in this Series: 4-for-6, 3 RBI. The rest of the Phils? Ownership goes the other way: 7-for-45, 1 RBI. That's .667 for Utley vs. Sabathia, .156 for the rest of the Phillies vs. Sabathia. (Overall: 11-for-51 is .216. Pretty strong.)

Lisa Swan of the Yankee blog Subway Squawkers is comparing Damaso Marte to Graeme Lloyd, who in 1996 followed a horrible regular season with postseason brilliance. (So did David Weathers.) As long as Marte gets outs like he got of Howard to end the 7th, I’m fine with it.

Joba Chamberlain pitching the bottom of the 8th, rocking the John Wetteland "Salt of the Earth" cap. Seriously chucking. Busting Jayson Werth high and inside with a 96 MPH heater (makes sense, with his '96-style cap), then doing the exact same thing, exact same spot, exact same speed, to Raul Ibanez (though in his case, as a lefty, it was outside).

But then he lets Pedro Feliz – Hi! My name is... WHAT? – tie it up with a homer. This after the Yanks left the 1st 2 men on base in the top of the 8th. Damn! Why didn't Joba do to Feliz what he did to Werth and Ibanez? Feliz ain't in their class as a hitter.

He fans Ruiz to strike out the side, but... CC might be the best pitcher in the Series (depending on what Lee does tomorrow night), and still walk out without a win!

In the top of the 9th, Lidge struck the 1st 2 batters out, but after fouling off a few pitches, Damon got a hit. Mark Teixeira was up, and, to neutralize him as a lefthanded batter, the Phils put on the infield shift. Damon saw this, and realized he could steal 2nd base; and, if successful, he could also steal 3rd, because the overshifted infield would leave 3rd uncovered.

(UPDATE: On the official World Series highlight film, Girardi said he yelled at Damon, "No, Johnny, no!" before realizing what Damon was doing.)

With the winning run on 3rd base, Lidge was now unwilling to throw his slider for fear of a wild pitch. He must have been unnerved by this play, because he hit Teix. (Clearly, not intentional.) Then A-Rod, in what is by leaps and bounds the biggest, most momentous at-bat of his career – and if the Yankees wrap it up in anything less than 7, it will forever remain that – faced Lidge, and, thank God, it wasn't the Lidge of 2008, it was the Lidge of 2005, the one that Albert Pujols faced in the NLCS in Houston and drove one almost all the way to Arkansas. Double. Go-ahead run.

Once again, Lidge sees someone... drink... his... postseason... milkshake! Slurrrrp! A-Rod drank it up! With Jorge taking a pretty good gulp to drive in the 6th and 7th runs. (Which made Joba the winning pitcher once Mariano Rivera finished it off. How fair is that?)

A-Rod has only 2 hits in the Series thus far, and they have both been hee-yuge. The Loser, Choker, Unclutch, Great Sham-bino, Mr. Mock-tober, $275 Million Bum image he had before this postseason has been utterly vaporized. And I, as big and as frequent an A-Ripper as anyone, am glad of it!

(UPDATE: It would be re-established in 2010, '11, '12 and '15.)

If the Yankees do finish this off, then, when A-Rod gets his ring, Joba should kiss it, because Joba will owe his ring to A-Rod. Right, Lisa?

*

I like the Phillies. I do. Just because they're the opponent in this Series and they must go down, doesn't mean I can generate any ill feeling toward them.

I like them because they're close, because I love their new ballpark, and because they drive Met fans bananas. Though that's a considerably closer drive than is home to Philadelphia.

But Philly fans have to realize that just because their team won it all last year doesn't mean it's going to happen again this season. The 2008 Tampa Bay Rays were a fluke. The Yankees are the best team in baseball, and they're proving it by beating the defending World Champs in their own yard.

If you say the Yankees are buying their championship, well, so did the '08 Phillies. Or did Howard, Rollins, Utley, Hamels et al play for no pay last season? Phils fans should not be like the troglodytes who root for the Mets or the drunken chavs who root for the Red Sox: Citing payroll is sports' last refuge of a scoundrel.

I'm not going to ridicule the Phils, because they've earned everything they've gotten these last 3 years. But this time, it's just not to be.

And I hope those guys didn't seriously think the atmosphere at 3501 South Broad Street was going to intimidate the Bronx Bombers. Regardless of what Michael Irvin or Santa Claus could say – one of them is of questionable existence, the other spends too much time inhaling snow – Philadelphia fans are fine upstanding gentlemen compared to the Fenway animals, and they don't faze us. Sicken, yes; faze, no.

*

Tomorrow night, it'll be Cliff Lee on 4 days rest vs. A.J. Burnett on 3 days' rest. Cue Harrison Ford: "I've got a bad feeling about this!"

But as Yogi taught us, "In baseball, you don't know nothin'." Or, as Joaquin Andujar taught us, "Baseball can be summed up in one word: 'Youneverknow.'"

If Joba shakes off last night, and remembers that he blew away 3 of the 4 batters he faced, and Phil Hughes, who's fresh, is ready to go, and Mariano is Mariano again, then Title 27 just might happen tomorrow night.

After that, I'll never be able to say anything negative about A-Rod again.

Unless he turns into another Pete Rose. Or O.J. Or Kobe. (UPDATE: None of those, but close enough.)

But I don't think that’s going to happen. Girlfriend Kate Hudson and her mom Goldie Hawn will see to that. As Goldie might say, A-Rod's Laugh-In days are over. Does he have one more big October hit in him? I'm not going to bet my sweet bippy, but I sure hope he socks it to me! (UPDATE: Maybe Goldie's partner, Met fan Kurt Russell, got to him afterward.)

Twenty-seven more outs. And at least +1 in net runs. 27 for 27! Let’s do it! Tonight! Let's Go Yankees!